Battery Materials Market Weekly

Week 10 Analysis (Mar. 12, 2026)

Executive Summary

Electrolyte Chain Plunges Across the Board

LiPF₆ dropped to ¥110,000/t ($15,940), down 4.3% WoW as oversupply persists and some producers plan turnarounds. Ternary and LFP electrolyte formulations fell 4.5% and 3.1% respectively. FEC plunged 4.7% to ¥61,000/t. Significant cost relief for battery cell manufacturers on the electrolyte front.

LCE Rebounds +1.9% After Correction

Battery-grade LCE firmed to ¥158,000/t ($22,896), up 1.9% WoW as lithium salt enterprises actively shipped and downstream cathode makers purchased on rigid demand. LCE futures fluctuated greatly during the week. Supply rose slightly from production resumptions; inventory stayed low. Outlook: range-bound.

Upstream Cost Pressure Intensifies

GPC market surged +3.5% WoW to ¥3,189/t as major refineries continued raising prices. Needle coke rose ¥150–240/t (oil-based). Coal tar pitch spiked ~¥500/t in most regions on tight regional supply and strong coal tar support. Anode margins under heavy pressure with flat selling prices.

LFP Cathode Firms +1.4% on Strong Demand

LFP power grade rose to ¥56,200/t ($8,144), up 1.4% WoW. Large LFP enterprises held high production while demand from both power and energy storage sectors remained bullish. Iron phosphate upstream edged up further. NCM, LCO, and LMO all held flat as markets enter a stabilization phase.

Market at a Glance

Weekly Price Direction Heatmap (USD/t, Ex-VAT)

Anode High-End

Artificial Graphite

→ STABLE

$7,753 USD/t

Anode Mid-Tier

Artificial Graphite

→ STABLE

$3,985 USD/t

Anode Low-End

Artificial Graphite

→ STABLE

$2,898 USD/t

LCE Bat-Grade

Battery Grade 99.5%

↑ FIRM

$22,896 USD/t

LCE Ind-Grade

Industrial 99.2%

↑ FIRM

$22,461 USD/t

LiOH Granular

Battery Grade

→ STABLE

$21,809 USD/t

LiOH Micro-Powder

Battery Grade

→ STABLE

$22,606 USD/t

LiPF₆

Average Market

↓ PLUNGE

$15,940 USD/t

Ternary Electrolyte

Formulation

↓ PLUNGE

$4,565 USD/t

LFP Electrolyte

Formulation

↓ PLUNGE

$4,492 USD/t

FEC Additive

Electrolyte Additive

↓ PLUNGE

$8,840 USD/t

VC Additive

Electrolyte Additive

↓ DOWN

$21,592 USD/t

NCM 5-Series

Single Crystal

→ STABLE

$26,287 USD/t

NCM 613

Single Crystal

→ STABLE

$26,577 USD/t

LFP Power Grade

Power Grade

↑ UP

$8,144 USD/t

LCO 4.2v

Consumer Grade

→ STABLE

$57,240 USD/t

Anode Market Analysis

Graphite Pricing (USD/t Avg)

Selling prices flat for 6 weeks — feedstock costs accelerating.

Market Commentary

GPC +3.5% — Cost Squeeze Deepens

Low-sulfur GPC averaged ¥3,189/t (+3.5% WoW). Sinopec GPC up ¥120-400/t, CNPC/PetroChina up ¥100-300/t, CNOOC up ¥150-350/t. Anode enterprises want to raise prices but fierce mid/low-end competition prevents it. Heavy operation pressure.

Needle Coke Rising; Pitch Spikes ¥500/t

Oil-based needle coke up ¥150-240/t. Coal tar pitch jumped ~¥500/t in most regions to ¥5,300-5,500/t on regional supply crunch and coal tar cost support. Total anode feedstock cost climbing rapidly while downstream cell plants push prices down.

Demand Stable; Overcapacity Limits Pricing Power

Anode supply grew further WoW. Large enterprises maintain high production while small/mid producers run on orders. New capacity gradually releasing. EV policy demand improving but overcapacity means weak bargaining power. Market expected to stay flat.

Cathode Market: Pricing Snapshots

LFP (Power Grade)$8,144/t ↑
NCM 613 (Single Crystal)$26,577/t →
NCM 5-Series (Single Crystal)$26,287/t →
LCO (4.2V)$57,240/t →
LMO (Dynamical MnO₂)$8,767/t →

Cathode Dynamics:LFP firms +1.4% to $8,144 on strong demand from power and energy storage. New capacity in Central/Northwest China gradually releasing. NCM stabilized at $26,287 with enterprises producing on orders. LCO flat at $57,240 — enterprises committed to early contracts; fresh orders rare. LMO stable amid cautious offers.

Cathode Comparison (USD/t)

LFP firms while NCM/LCO/LMO stabilize post-correction.

Lithium Carbonate Market

Battery Grade (99.5%)Firming After Correction
$22,896/t ↑
Industrial Grade (99.2%)Tracking Battery Grade
$22,461/t ↑

Market Analysis: LCE stepped up then inched down during the week, settling at ¥158,000/t ($22,896), up 1.9% WoW. Lithium salt enterprises actively shipped immediate orders. Downstream cathode makers restocked on rigid demand. LCE supply rose slightly from production resumptions but inventory stayed low. Outlook: range-bound in the near term.

LCE Price Movement (USD/t Avg)

Partial rebound from $22.4k to $22.9k — stabilizing.

Electrolyte & LiOH Markets

Lithium Hydroxide (USD/t Avg)

LiOH stable at $21,809/t (granular). Supply tight.

LiPF₆ Status (USD/t Avg)

Plunges to $15,940/t (−4.3% WoW) — oversupply persists.

What Moved the Market This Week?

Electrolyte Chain Plunges 3–5% Across the Board

LiPF₆ fell to ¥110,000/t ($15,940, −4.3%) as oversupply continues. Ternary electrolyte −4.5% to $4,565; LFP electrolyte −3.1% to $4,492. FEC plunged 4.7% to $8,840. Major cost relief for cell producers. LiPF₆ expected to drop further ¥2,000–5,000/t next week.

LCE Rebounds +1.9% — Range-Bound Signal

Battery-grade LCE firmed to ¥158,000/t ($22,896) after last week's sharp correction. Futures volatile intraweek. Lithium salt producers actively shipped spot cargoes. Cathode makers restocked at corrected prices. LCE inventory remains lean, supporting a price floor.

Upstream Cost Surge — GPC +3.5%, Pitch +¥500/t

GPC averaged ¥3,189/t (+3.5% WoW). Coal tar pitch spiked ¥500/t across most regions to ¥5,300–5,500/t on tight supply and high coal tar prices. Needle coke up ¥150–240/t (oil-based). Anode producers caught between rising inputs and flat-to-falling selling prices.

LFP Cathode +1.4% — Demand-Led Firming

LFP power grade rose to ¥56,200/t ($8,144) on active procurement from battery cell plants. Iron phosphate upstream edged up further. LFP inventory dropped on destocking. New capacity in Central/Northwest China gradually releasing. Outlook: firm in the near term.

Strategic Outlook

Risk Warning: The electrolyte chain cost reset is real — lock in LiPF₆ procurement now before potential turnaround-driven supply tightening. However, the anode feedstock cost surge (GPC +3.5%, pitch +¥500/t, needle coke rising) is creating an unsustainable squeeze. Expect anode price hike attempts in coming weeks.

D3CT Recommendation: Accelerate LFP cathode procurement before further firming from demand-side pull. Monitor LCE for ¥155,000–160,000/t range stability — a break above ¥165,000/t would signal a second leg up. For anode supply chains, the GPC/pitch/needle coke triple-surge makes Q2 contracts urgent — negotiate now before further escalation.

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