Battery Materials Market Weekly

Week 11 Analysis (Mar. 19, 2026)

Executive Summary

Lithium Chain Correction Deepens

Battery-grade LCE plunged to ¥151,000/t ($21,890), down 4.4% WoW as futures fell and lithium salt enterprises were more active in shipping. LiOH granular dropped 3.3% to ¥145,500/t. Downstream cathode makers continued cautious procurement on rigid demand only. LCE supply recovering steadily; inventory remains low. Outlook: range-bound oscillation.

LiPF₆ Softens Further to ¥108,000

LiPF₆ slid to ¥108,000/t ($15,656), down 1.8% WoW. Mainstream producers maintained firm offers while some large enterprises ran turnarounds. Downstream electrolyte buyers cautious. AHF firm, LCE weak — mixed cost signals. Ternary and LFP electrolyte formulations flat at $4,566/$4,494. FEC and VC stable. Expect stable-to-weak scenario next week.

LFP Cathode Drops 3.0% — Demand Softens

LFP power grade fell to ¥54,500/t ($7,901), down 3.0% WoW. Raw material iron phosphate continued upward but LCE correction weighed on pricing. Large LFP enterprises at full-load production; supply grew slightly. Energy storage demand stable. LMO also soft at −1.7%. LCO flat. Expect weak fluctuation near term.

NCM Ticks Up +0.6% — Slight Recovery

NCM 5-series edged up to ¥182,400/t ($26,442), +0.6% WoW. NCM 613 also +0.5% to $26,732. Market increased then declined during the week. Enterprises mostly committed to early contracts with rare fresh orders. Some lifted production for export. Downstream buying not active amid sufficient inventories. Expect narrow consolidation.

Market at a Glance

Weekly Price Direction Heatmap (USD/t, Ex-VAT)

Anode High-End

Artificial Graphite

→ STABLE

$7,756 USD/t

Anode Mid-Tier

Artificial Graphite

→ STABLE

$3,987 USD/t

Anode Low-End

Artificial Graphite

→ STABLE

$2,899 USD/t

LCE Bat-Grade

Battery Grade 99.5%

↓ PLUNGE

$21,890 USD/t

LCE Ind-Grade

Industrial 99.2%

↓ PLUNGE

$21,455 USD/t

LiOH Granular

Battery Grade

↓ PLUNGE

$21,092 USD/t

LiOH Micro-Powder

Battery Grade

↓ SOFT

$21,962 USD/t

LiPF₆

Average Market

↓ SOFT

$15,656 USD/t

Ternary Electrolyte

Formulation

→ STABLE

$4,566 USD/t

LFP Electrolyte

Formulation

→ STABLE

$4,494 USD/t

FEC Additive

Electrolyte Additive

→ STABLE

$8,843 USD/t

VC Additive

Electrolyte Additive

→ STABLE

$21,600 USD/t

NCM 5-Series

Single Crystal

↑ UP

$26,442 USD/t

NCM 613

Single Crystal

→ STABLE

$26,732 USD/t

LFP Power Grade

Power Grade

↓ SOFT

$7,901 USD/t

LCO 4.2v

Consumer Grade

→ STABLE

$57,261 USD/t

Anode Market Analysis

Graphite Pricing (USD/t Avg)

Selling prices flat for 7 weeks — feedstock cost surge continues.

Market Commentary

GPC Stable; Mid-sulfur Diverges

Low-sulfur GPC prices edged up individually. Mid-sulfur 2# GPC averaged ¥4,513/t (−0.9% WoW) while 3# GPC rose to ¥3,995/t (+1.8%). Overall GPC market averaged ¥3,198/t, up 0.3% WoW. Some refineries under maintenance, slightly reducing supply. Expect GPC to run strongly next week.

Needle Coke Further Upticks; Pitch May Soften

Oil-based needle coke averaged ¥6,665/t (+5.2%), some East China enterprises raised offers ¥500–800/t. Coal-based needle coke up to ¥6,750/t (+3.8%). Coal tar pitch discussions may see limited declines as feedstock coal tar price dropped and downstream adopts strong bidding-down approach.

Anode Flat — Buy-Sell Confrontation Persists

Anode supply continued to rise WoW. Large enterprises hold good production while mid/small enterprises stable. Limited demand and fierce competition in mid/low-end products. Enterprises want to raise prices for normal operation but downstream forces prices down. Market anticipated to keep settled.

Cathode Market: Pricing Snapshots

LFP (Power Grade)$7,901/t ↓
NCM 613 (Single Crystal)$26,732/t →
NCM 5-Series (Single Crystal)$26,442/t ↑
LCO (4.2V)$57,261/t →
LMO (Dynamical MnO₂)$8,625/t ↓

Cathode Dynamics:LFP drops 3.0% to $7,901 as LCE correction weighs on pricing despite upstream iron phosphate firming. Large enterprises at full-load production; supply grew slightly. NCM 5-series edges up +0.6% to $26,442 — enterprises lifted production for export orders. LCO flat at $57,261 — consumer electronics market in slack season. LMO soft −1.7% to $8,625 — demand soft, small orders only.

Cathode Comparison (USD/t)

LFP retreats 3.0%; NCM edges up; LMO softens.

Lithium Carbonate Market

Battery Grade (99.5%)Correction Deepens
$21,890/t ↓
Industrial Grade (99.2%)Tracking Battery Grade Down
$21,455/t ↓

Market Analysis: LCE fluctuated down this week, settling at ¥151,000/t ($21,890), down 4.4% WoW. LCE futures fell further. Lithium salt enterprises were more active in shipping for immediate orders. Downstream cathode makers procured on rigid demand with cautious attitude. LCE supply recovering steadily; overall inventory remains low. Outlook: probable to oscillate within the range near term.

LCE Price Movement (USD/t Avg)

Correction deepens from $22.9k to $21.9k — testing floor.

Electrolyte & LiOH Markets

Lithium Hydroxide (USD/t Avg)

LiOH drops to $21,092/t (granular, −3.3%). Supply tight.

LiPF₆ Status (USD/t Avg)

Softens to $15,656/t (−1.8% WoW) — stable-to-weak.

What Moved the Market This Week?

Lithium Chain Correction — LCE −4.4%, LiOH −3.3%

Battery-grade LCE fell to ¥151,000/t ($21,890, −4.4%) as futures declined and lithium salt enterprises actively shipped. LiOH granular dropped to ¥145,500/t ($21,092, −3.3%), micro-powder to ¥151,500/t (−2.9%). Downstream cathode makers purchased cautiously on rigid demand. LCE inventory remains low. Outlook: range-bound oscillation.

LiPF₆ Softens Further −1.8% — Stable-to-Weak

LiPF₆ slid to ¥108,000/t ($15,656, −1.8%). Mainstream producers maintained firm offers. Some large enterprises conducting turnarounds. AHF market remained firm but LCE decline weakened cost support. Ternary/LFP electrolyte formulations flat. FEC and VC unchanged. Expect stable-to-weak next week.

Needle Coke Surges — Oil-based +5.2%

Oil-based needle coke jumped to ¥6,665/t (+5.2% WoW) as oil slurry surged on international tensions. Some East China enterprises raised offers ¥500–800/t. Coal-based needle coke up to ¥6,750/t (+3.8%). Coal tar pitch discussions may see limited declines. Industry operation rate inching down. Raw material inventories near low levels for anode producers.

LFP/LMO Cathode Retreat — Demand Softens

LFP power grade fell to ¥54,500/t ($7,901, −3.0%) as LCE correction weighed despite upstream iron phosphate firming. Energy storage demand stable. LMO dropped to ¥59,500/t ($8,625, −1.7%) — downstream consuming inventories, small orders only. NCM 5-series edged up +0.6% on export order support.

Strategic Outlook

Risk Warning: The lithium chain correction is accelerating — LCE −4.4%, LiOH −3.3%, LFP cathode −3.0%. While this provides cost relief for cell producers, needle coke is surging (+5.2%) and could force anode price hikes. The divergence between falling lithium/cathode and rising anode feedstocks creates a compressed margin environment.

D3CT Recommendation: Consider opportunistic LCE procurement at ¥148,000–153,000/t — this correction may find a floor near ¥145,000/t. Lock in LiPF₆ at current $15,656/t levels before turnaround-driven supply tightening. For anode supply chains, needle coke and GPC cost escalation makes Q2 contracts urgent. NCM cathode showing slight recovery — watch for sustained trend reversal.

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